NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Portland St

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#158 Portland St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland State’s résumé features genuine road victories and a steady home win but is marred by heavy setbacks at Stanford and San Francisco that cast doubt on its ability to win in hostile environments. The road wins at Utah Tech and South Dakota and the home victory over Cal State Bakersfield are the team’s best moments because they show it can close games away from home and handle a midmajor opponent at home, while the defeats at Stanford and San Francisco are the worst moments because they raise questions about consistency against stronger nonconference competition. A remaining schedule that mixes winnable home dates against conference peers with high‑leverage opportunities on the road at Colorado, at Tulane and through a stretch of Big Sky tests at Weber State, Northern Arizona and the Montana schools gives Portland State clear paths to repair its résumé or to suffer further damage depending on how it finishes.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/4	@Stanford	78	L89-79
11/12	@San Francisco	104	L80-70
11/17	CS Bakersfield	259	W93-80
11/25	@Utah Tech	239	W68-63
12/3	@South Dakota	274	W77-71
12/6	NE Omaha	268	78%
12/17	@Colorado	66	13%
12/20	@Tulane	171	42%
1/1	@Weber St	189	45%
1/3	@Idaho St	173	42%
1/10	CS Sacramento	279	80%
1/15	N Colorado	154	61%
1/17	Northern Arizona	265	78%
1/22	@E Washington	245	56%
1/24	@Idaho	210	49%
1/29	Montana	195	68%
1/31	Montana St	153	60%
2/2	Idaho St	173	64%
2/7	@CS Sacramento	279	60%
2/12	@Northern Arizona	265	59%
2/14	@N Colorado	154	38%
2/19	Idaho	210	70%
2/21	E Washington	245	76%
2/26	@Montana St	153	38%
2/28	@Montana	195	46%
3/2	Weber St	189	67%